Recent Thinking
Retirement Income Review: Simplifying the complex
The Retirement Income Review has achieved many things. It has managed to make a complex system understandable. It used strong principles as its guide. It has achieved its mandate of establishing a fact base while leaving some clear policy direction, all without making any recommendations. Well done to those involved, especially Carolyn Kay, Deborah Ralston and Michael Callaghan.
23 November 2020
Exploring Big Ideas with Marisa Hall
Pension funds need a generation of investment professionals that are willing to be brave and less conservative than their predecessors if they are to move to the systems level perspectives on investment that is required for better returns and societal outcomes, according to the co-head of the Thinking Ahead Institute, Marisa Hall.
15 October 2020
Impaired Super
Within a budget of enormous economic consequence were a collection of super reforms which will significantly impact the superannuation system and the retirement outcomes of many Australians. I am sure the proposed measures were well-intentioned. Most will work (perhaps with some unintended consequences) but there is one area that is so flawed that, if implemented as announced, will impair outcomes for consumers.
12 October 2020
What should go into – and stay out of – a quality SG recommendation
It’s nearly impossible to have a quality debate about the fate of the superannuation guarantee in media, but as the SG issue is a component of the Retirement Income Review we need a high quality, research-driven approach.
27 September 2020
Goals based advice needs tighter certainty metrics
Certainty and risk are at the core of quality advice and at the forefront of client communications, and the value of good financial advice cannot be fully appreciated until these understated concepts are viewed as tangible, creditable benefits to clients.
3 August 2020
Exploring big ideas with Senator Jane Hume
Ongoing micro-reforms, decumulation solutions, fintech and an end to ideological wars are highlights among the ideas Senator Jane Hume has for improving Australia’s retirement system, many of which can be described as micro-reforms which may disappoint those looking for a single silver bullet big idea.
16 July 2020
Are property sector options playing with fire?
In most finance courses academics will teach you the maths behind asset pricing and diversification. Often, the first real-world lesson is on the risk of the liquidity mismatch. Over the years that discrepancy between assets and liabilities has proven fatal for companies, industries, governments, banks, managed funds and many hedge funds.
27 May 2020
COVID Susceptibility Index can help to manage outbreaks
Background: At a recent UNSW virtual research seminar, Calise Liu and Alan Xian presented their research on developing a COVID-19 Susceptibility Index. This interview explores the research and its potential applications. Calise works at Finity Consulting, which specialises in actuarial and strategic analytics consulting. Alan has nearly finished his PhD at UNSW and will start a role at Macquarie University later this year.
27 May 2020
Is it time to take a tougher line with unlisted assets?
As the dust starts to settle on the first round of early access to super, perhaps it is a good time to reflect on the governance and regulation of unlisted assets in super funds. It is a complex area, with consumer protection provided by super fund governance overseen by the prudential regulator.
28 April 2020
Crisis highlights agency issues in Oz
The current coronavirus crisis has created investment governance challenges for Australia’s superannuation funds – with regard to liquidity requirements – that are relevant to any DC scheme which invests in illiquid assets. It highlights the potential impact of agency issues on decision-making during a crisis environment.
27 April 2020
The $20,000 decision on early access to super
As part of its economic response to the coronavirus crisis, the Federal Government is allowing those facing financial hardship to access their superannuation in two tranches of $10,000. Whether or not to ‘tap’ your super is an important decision. You need to think about the trade-off between your present situation and the one you may face in retirement.
15 April 2020
AustralianSuper’s valuation decision opens can of worms
When we think superannuation liquidity risk, it’s natural to think cashflow liquidity. However, this is just one point of a trident of liquidity issues. Cashflow liquidity, quality of the remaining portfolio, and the equity of the unit price are each important.
24 February 2020
Flawed retirement modelling compounds client anxiety
As an industry we generally tell people what their retirement will look like on average; this is known as deterministic modelling. Typically, we provide little information around the range of retirement outcomes which may be experienced, known as stochastic modelling.
20 February 2020
No room for opinion in retirement review
Will those making submissions be able to hold fire and stick to the facts? Facts are difficult to establish in a complex system and they can be difficult to distinguish from beliefs. What may appear to be small differences in assumptions can make a large difference to the assessed outcomes of the retirement system. The ongoing debate between the Grattan Institute and Mercer over retirement adequacy is a case in point.
Why would this be?
3 February 2020
Home fund needed for ‘orphans’
One interesting observation regarding the current round of merger discussions is that many of the funds publicly mentioned are in good health – generally these funds are experiencing positive net inflow. In contrast, there appears far less activity amongst funds in a less healthy position.
Why would this be?
13 January 2020